May 16th: Rain developing over SA, and far southwest VIC, but not much for the rest...

High pressure brings a stretch of cold mornings and sunny days, lasting until the end of the weekend in Victoria.

Meanwhile, the tropical moisture from ex-Cyclone Ann is meeting up with low pressure over the interior (driven by a deep low over the Bight) - with great rain for central Australia:

AUS rain.png

South Australia is in the perfect spot to see the best from this:

SA rain.png

Anything green on that map is 15 to 30 mm. Starting on Saturday, mainly falling on Sunday.

But, that’s the peak, and the low and trough rapidly weaken, just falling southwards as it crosses Victoria and southern NSW:

VIC rain.png

The best falls are in far southwest VIC (10 to 25 mm), and the chance of around 10mm on the northern slopes of the ranges. The rest can expect 0 to 5 mm from this one.

You can see what to expect for your exact spot here: Your Forecast

Warmth

It is interesting to note that Melbourne may have six days in a row reaching 20C. Unusual for late May.

The wind direction is generally northerly from Saturday onwards, even after the falling system on Monday. Some days (Monday and Wednesday) could briefly reach 20C before it cools, but it warms again the next day. But… seabreezes may also ruin the 20C stretch too.

On the Horizon

We currently have a very weak system passing through on Wednesday 22nd, then the potential for something to develop at the end of that week.

Stay tuned :) …

Jane Bunn