JANE'S SNOW FORECAST DISCUSSION

ISSUED: FRIDAY 21ST JULY, 9:15AM

A high has moved in to produce sunshine and light winds for Friday. The high moves to the east on Saturday, letting the wind strengthen again later in the day. There is also the chance of snow showers on Saturday night as the next system approaches.

A cold front cuts through the high later on Sunday, then the high quickly comes back in on Monday, but we should see 5 to 10 cm snow on Sunday into Monday.

The next bigger system is not far away. A low crosses Tasmania later Tuesday, then a strong front crosses the alps on Wednesday. We'll see 20 to 30 cm of snow from Tuesday to Wednesday, most of it falling on Wednesday.  

The next high brings light winds and sunshine on Thursday, then a weak front clips the alps next Friday, with a few centimetres of snow

Friday - Dry and sunny with light winds.

Saturday - A dry day with moderate winds. Becoming windy at night with the chance of snow showers.

Sunday - Snow developing. Strong winds, moderating later.

Monday - Snow showers, increasing in the afternoon. Moderate winds.

Tuesday - Snow showers, tending to persistent snow later in the day. Moderate winds becoming strong.

AUTOMATIC SNOW FORECASTS

W3.CSS

(OCF data) Updated at: . (Due: 1am | 6am | 1pm | 6pm)

(OCF plus EC data) EC Updated around: 6:15am | 6:15pm

3 day forecast ranges from to

Hotham Snow Cam

MT HOTHAM (1850 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Falls Creek Snow Cam

FALLS CREEK (1750 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Thredbo Snow Cam

THREDBO (1950 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Mt Baw Baw Snow Cam

MT BAW BAW (1550 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Mt Buller Snow Cam

MT BULLER (1700 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Perisher Snow Cam

PERISHER (1750 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm

Selwyn Snow Cam

SELWYN (1500 metres)

Current - Temp: °C | Precip: mm

3 days - Snow: cm | Mix: mm | Rain: mm 

8 day snow forecast: cm


WHAT IS THIS DATA?

Days one to three are OCF data, remaining days are ECMWF data.

The elevation relates to the current conditions and the 3 day snow forecast. The most recent cam is from some part of the resort.

The current temperature is updated every 10 minutes from the nearest or most suitable official Automatic Weather Station.

The precip is the precipitation into the gauge since the reset at 9am. This value is updated every 10 minutes from the nearest or most suitable official Automatic Weather Station.

The forecast data is automatically calculated from numerical weather model output:

Days 1 to 3:

  • snow = 0C or less
  • mix = 0C to 1C
  • rain = 1C or more

Days 1 to 8:

  • snow = any precipitation of 1C or less

The short term data is driven by OCF = Operational Consensus Forecast, a product by BoM. A weighted average of all the different weather models. If one model has done particularly well lately, then it has more influence;Β a poor model, less influence.Β 

OCF data is only calculated for locations with an official Automatic Weather Station. The forecast for Selwyn is from Cabramurra (1500m). ECMWF data will be provided for the remaining resorts.

The daily totals are for the next three days, as per the duration guide.Β This data is updated four times per day (around 1am/pm, 6am/pm). ECMWF data is updated around 6:15am/pm.

Feedback? Email: admin @ janesweather.com.